Modeling of LEO orbital debris populations for ORDEM2008

The NASA Orbital Debris Engineering Model, ORDEM2000, is in the process of being updated to a new version: ORDEM2008. The data-driven ORDEM covers a spectrum of object size from 10 μm to greater than 1 m, and ranging from LEO (low Earth orbit) to GEO (geosynchronous orbit) altitude regimes. ORDEM2008 centimeter-sized populations are statistically derived from Haystack and HAX (the Haystack Auxiliary) radar data, while micron-sized populations are estimated from shuttle impact records. Each of the model populations consists of a large number of orbits with specified orbital elements, the number of objects on each orbit (with corresponding uncertainty), and the size, type, and material assignment for each object. This paper describes the general methodology and procedure commonly used in the statistical inference of the ORDEM2008 LEO debris populations. Major steps in the population derivations include data analysis, reference-population construction, definition of model parameters in terms of reference populations, linking model parameters with data, seeking best estimates for the model parameters, uncertainty analysis, and assessment of the outcomes. To demonstrate the population-derivation process and to validate the Bayesian statistical model applied in the population derivations throughout, this paper uses illustrative examples for the special cases of large-size (>1 m, >32 cm, and >10 cm) populations that are tracked by SSN (the Space Surveillance Network) and also monitored by Haystack and HAX radars operating in a staring mode.     

径厚比对锥柱形金属膜片屈曲和后屈曲状态的影响

通过有限元方法研究了半径及径厚比对锥柱形金属膜片翻转过程的影响,并选取典型的半径及径厚比样本点对分析结论进行了数值验证.研究结果表明:膜片半径太小或太大均表现出一定的尺寸效应,小半径膜片的尺寸效应更显著;半径为203~403mm的膜片其屈曲和后屈曲状态表现出明显的一致性;对于确定半径的膜片,径厚比太大,膜片承载能力太小而导致翻转效率较低,径厚比太小,膜片屈曲载荷呈指数级显著增加而不易翻转,径厚比为160~400的膜片其翻转效率较好,并且后屈曲状态表现出一致性;选取典型的样本点对结论进行了数值验证,一致性较好.      

定几何混压式轴对称超声速进气道设计及性能计算

给出了定几何混压式轴对称超声速进气道型面设计及性能计算方法,进行了算例计算。对亚临界状态下脱体激波的计算进行了研究,给出了进气道临界状态性能参数随飞行马赫数和高度的改变而变化的曲线。分析了进-发匹配过程,以及进气道的自调节能力。计算得到了基于进气道性能最优,即进气道工作在临界状态条件下,碳氢燃料冲压发动机的供油规律,为进气道大范围寻优设计打下了基础。